Florida Forecast Update: 106° Heat Index and Afternoon Storms for Tallahassee by 2 p.m. Saturday

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Florida weather
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Tallahassee, FL – Triple-digit heat and afternoon thunderstorms are expected to hit Tallahassee on Saturday, bringing a summer weather alert that could impact travel and outdoor plans through early next week.

According to the National Weather Service, a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms will develop after 2 p.m. Saturday, July 12th, across Leon County. The heat index may reach a dangerous 106 degrees, especially for residents traveling on major routes like Monroe Street and Apalachee Parkway. The NWS urges everyone to stay hydrated, avoid strenuous outdoor activity, and use extreme caution on the roads, where wet pavement and brief downpours could trigger sudden slowdowns or minor flooding.

Showers and thunderstorms become even more likely on Sunday and Monday, with storm chances peaking at 70 percent both days. Highs will reach 96°F on Sunday and 97°F on Monday, keeping heat risks high. Brief but intense thunderstorms could disrupt plans from Cascades Park to the campuses of FSU and FAMU, especially after 2 p.m. both days. Even short walks outside could be hazardous—bring water, use sunscreen, and check local alerts before heading out.

By Tuesday, expect more of the same: highs near 97°F and an 80 percent chance of afternoon storms. Rainfall totals will remain light, but any thunderstorm could bring heavy downpours and localized flooding, especially near low-lying roads like Capital Circle and Magnolia Drive.

What’s Next:
Strong thunderstorm chances persist through Wednesday, with some relief expected Thursday as highs drop to the upper 80s. More advisories may follow—monitor local alerts for updates.


Five Day Forecast (Tallahassee, FL):

  • Saturday: Sunny, then a 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2 p.m. High: 95°F (heat index to 106°F).
  • Sunday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 2 p.m. High: 96°F. Chance of rain: 70%.
  • Monday: Showers and thunderstorms likely after 2 p.m. High: 97°F. Chance of rain: 70%.
  • Tuesday: Showers and thunderstorms mainly after 2 p.m. High: 97°F. Chance of rain: 80%.
  • Wednesday: Showers and thunderstorms. High: 92°F. Chance of rain: 90%.