Louisville, KY – Showers and thunderstorms will continue to affect north-central Kentucky and southern Indiana through today, with the potential for several strong to severe storms by this evening. According to the National Weather Service (NWS) in Louisville, a cold front arriving tonight will bring the highest chance for impactful weather.
Storms through the morning and early afternoon are expected to produce heavy rain, lightning, and occasional small hail, but the more organized severe threat ramps up between 7 PM and midnight EST (6–11 PM CST). As the cold front pushes in, a broken line of thunderstorms may develop, with a few capable of producing hail and — in localized pockets — a brief spin-up tornado.
The greatest tornado potential is focused in a red-circled area on the NWS outlook, covering portions of southwest Indiana and western Kentucky, including communities near Owensboro, Madisonville, and Henderson. While widespread severe weather is not expected, forecasters emphasize that quick, isolated tornadoes can develop along fast-moving lines, especially in this type of low-instability, high-shear setup.
Confidence in severe weather remains low, but enough ingredients are present to warrant elevated awareness for residents in the affected region. Thunderstorm chances will diminish shortly after midnight as the front presses eastward.
Drivers should be prepared for reduced visibility, ponding water on roadways, and rapidly changing conditions during the evening hours. Those with outdoor plans should monitor radar updates and be ready to move indoors if storms approach.
NWS will continue providing updates as the situation evolves.
