Norfolk, Virginia – A milder late-winter pattern is taking shape across eastern Virginia in the Feb. 21–27 window, increasing the likelihood of above-normal temperatures and shifting precipitation toward rain with a limited sleet risk.
According to the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center, eastern Virginia falls within a 33% to 50% probability zone for above-normal temperatures during the 8- to 14-day outlook. That points to afternoon highs running several degrees above late-February averages, especially across the Hampton Roads region and the Eastern Shore.
While the overall trend favors warmth, passing systems could still bring mixed precipitation at times. Rain appears most likely for coastal communities including Norfolk, Virginia Beach and Newport News. However, sleet could briefly mix in during overnight or early morning hours if surface temperatures dip near freezing, particularly inland toward Richmond and along the I-64 corridor.
Drivers should stay alert for slick bridges and elevated roadways during pre-dawn hours, when temperatures can cool just enough for brief icing before rising again after sunrise.
The broader pattern supports active weather rather than a prolonged dry stretch. Additional updates from the National Weather Service may refine precipitation type and timing as late February approaches.
