Tulsa, Oklahoma – Eastern Oklahoma is settling into a quieter but more variable late-winter pattern as January winds down, with noticeable temperature swings expected while precipitation chances remain minimal into early February.
According to the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center, the Jan. 24–Feb. 6 outlook places eastern Oklahoma in an equal-chance category for both temperature and precipitation. This points to a transitional setup, where a lingering cold front remains nearby but lacks the moisture needed to produce rain or winter weather.
Communities across eastern Oklahoma, including Tulsa, Muskogee, Bartlesville, and McAlester, could experience sharp day-to-day temperature changes. Cooler mornings may be followed by milder afternoons before another push of cooler air arrives, especially when winds shift behind the front. These swings may be more noticeable than any single cold spell.
Farther east toward the Arkansas border, temperatures may moderate slightly faster between cool periods, while northeastern Oklahoma could see brief but sharper cool-downs overnight. Despite the fluctuations, skies are expected to remain mostly dry, limiting travel or infrastructure impacts.
With no organized precipitation signals, the primary concern will be adjusting to changing temperatures rather than hazardous weather. Residents are encouraged to dress in layers and stay mindful of cooler mornings and evenings, especially for early commutes.
This pattern of temperature variability is expected to persist into early February. While conditions remain quiet for now, updated outlooks may follow if the cold front becomes more active or shifts position.
