Dodge City, Kansas – Record-breaking warmth is increasingly likely in Dodge City this week, with Christmas Day showing a 90 to 100 percent chance of meeting or exceeding the city’s daily high-temperature record.
According to the National Weather Service in Dodge City, temperatures throughout the upcoming week will remain well above normal, with several days showing elevated chances of setting new records. Dodge City’s normal high temperature is 44 degrees, but forecast highs are expected to reach the 70s on multiple days.
For today, Dodge City has a 50 to 60 percent chance of meeting or exceeding the daily record of 73 degrees set in 1915. Chances drop to 0 percent Tuesday and Wednesday, before sharply increasing again on Thursday, when the probability rises to 90 to 100 percent for breaking the 74-degree record from 1950.
By Friday, record chances ease slightly but remain elevated, with a 20 to 30 percent probability of exceeding the daily record of 75 degrees set in 2021.
Nearby locations reflect a similar pattern. Garden City shows a 90 to 100 percent chance of breaking records on Thursday, while Medicine Lodge carries a 25 to 35 percent chance the same day.
Forecasters note that the warmest days are expected today and Christmas Day, with highs running 25 to 30 degrees above seasonal averages.
The unusual warmth may affect holiday travel, outdoor plans, and energy usage, especially for residents expecting more typical winter conditions.
Residents are encouraged to monitor updated forecasts as record temperatures approach later this week.
