Denver, CO – A spring-like shift in the weather pattern is expected to impact Colorado during the February 11–17 period, bringing above-normal temperatures with potential statewide implications.
According to the NOAA Climate Prediction Center, the 8–14 day outlook strongly favors warmer-than-normal temperatures across the central Rockies, including all of Colorado. This transition follows recent episodes of winter cold and signals a temporary break from persistent mid-winter conditions.
Along the Front Range, including Denver, Boulder, Fort Collins, and Colorado Springs, average mid-February high temperatures typically range from the mid-40s to near 50 degrees. Forecast guidance suggests daytime highs may frequently reach the 50s and potentially low 60s during this period. Overnight lows are also expected to moderate, reducing the frequency of hard freezes.
Across western Colorado, including Grand Junction, Glenwood Springs, and Montrose, temperatures are forecast to trend above seasonal averages, with efficient daytime warming in valley locations. Eastern Colorado, including the Plains and communities along I-70 and I-76, may also experience milder afternoons, though cooler mornings will persist.
In the mountains, warmer daytime temperatures could lead to gradual snowmelt at lower elevations and along south-facing slopes. Snowmelt combined with any rainfall could increase runoff into creeks, rivers, and drainage systems. Transportation corridors such as I-25, I-70, U.S. Highway 50, and U.S. Highway 285 are particularly sensitive to ponding, rockfall, and localized flooding during rapid warmups.
The Climate Prediction Center’s precipitation outlook indicates near to above-normal precipitation potential during this timeframe. While no specific storm systems are identified, periods of rain or mountain snow combined with warming temperatures could contribute to rises on rivers including the South Platte, Arkansas, Colorado, Gunnison, and Cache la Poudre.
Warming conditions may also weaken ice on reservoirs, ponds, and mountain streams, creating hazards for recreation. The National Weather Service advises residents to avoid unstable ice during thaw periods.
Commuters, students, outdoor workers, and mountain travelers may notice more spring-like afternoons, but officials caution that winter hazards can persist overnight and at higher elevations.
Residents across Colorado are encouraged to monitor updated forecasts, river statements, and local advisories as confidence increases closer to the February 11–17 timeframe.
