Columbus, Ohio – A stronger spring signal is emerging across Ohio heading into early March, with confidence growing that both temperatures and precipitation trend above seasonal averages during the Feb. 28 through Mar. 13 period.
According to the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center, Ohio carries a 50% to 60% probability of above-normal temperatures in the Week 3-4 outlook. At the same time, precipitation probabilities also rise into the 50% to 60% range, indicating an increased likelihood of wetter-than-average conditions statewide.
The warmer signal spans the Interstate 70 corridor from Columbus to Dayton, north along Interstate 71 toward Cleveland, and west along Interstate 75 through Toledo and Cincinnati. This broader atmospheric setup favors fewer prolonged Arctic intrusions compared to typical late-February standards.
The elevated precipitation signal suggests a more active pattern across the Ohio Valley. While the outlook does not specify exact storm timing or type, it does point toward a higher probability of systems tracking through the region during the two-week window.
Major population centers including Cleveland, Columbus, Cincinnati, Akron and Toledo fall within both the warmer and wetter zones. The Week 3-4 outlook reflects large-scale atmospheric trends rather than specific day-to-day conditions.
Additional refinements are expected as the late-February to mid-March timeframe approaches and shorter-range guidance provides greater detail on individual systems.
