Denver, Colorado – A broader warming trend is expected to take shape across Colorado as February transitions into March, increasing the probability that prolonged Arctic intrusions become less frequent statewide during the Feb. 28 through Mar. 13 timeframe.
According to the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center, Colorado carries a 33% to 50% probability of above-normal temperatures in the Week 3-4 outlook. That warmer signal spans the Interstate 25 corridor from Fort Collins through Denver to Colorado Springs and Pueblo, and extends west along Interstate 70 into the central mountains and Western Slope.
This extended-range guidance favors more seasonable to slightly milder conditions compared to late-February averages. While colder periods remain possible in the high country and across northeastern plains communities, the broader atmospheric setup suggests fewer sustained Arctic air masses dominating the state.
Precipitation probabilities during the same period lean near normal across much of Colorado. No dominant wet or dry anomaly stands out in the long-range outlook, indicating that typical late-winter systems remain possible without a strong signal for excessive snowfall in the mountains or prolonged dry stretches along the Front Range.
Communities from Grand Junction and Vail to Denver, Boulder and Colorado Springs fall within this gradual transition toward early-spring conditions. The Week 3-4 outlook reflects large-scale atmospheric trends rather than specific storm timing or daily weather details.
Additional refinements are expected as the late-February to mid-March window approaches and shorter-range guidance becomes available.


