Coastal Carolina Weather Alert: 33–50% Above-Normal Temps with Rain Risk Feb. 21–27

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Wilmington, North Carolina – A milder late-winter pattern is taking hold across Coastal Carolina in the Feb. 21–27 window, increasing the odds of above-normal temperatures and bringing periodic chances for rain along the coast.

According to the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center, eastern North Carolina and coastal South Carolina fall within a 33% to 50% probability zone for above-normal temperatures during the 8- to 14-day outlook. That trend points to afternoon highs running several degrees above late-February averages from the Outer Banks south through Myrtle Beach and Charleston’s coastal communities.

While colder air intrusions appear limited, passing systems could still bring rounds of rain, particularly along the I-95 corridor and U.S. 17. In inland areas west of Wilmington and Florence, brief periods of cooler air could allow for a mix if temperatures dip near freezing overnight, though widespread wintry weather is not favored.

Motorists should prepare for wet roadways during heavier showers, especially on coastal bridges and low-lying routes prone to ponding. Gusty coastal winds may also develop at times with passing systems.

The broader setup favors active weather rather than an extended dry stretch. Additional updates from the National Weather Service may refine timing and rainfall amounts as late February approaches.