Raleigh, NC – A spring-like shift in the weather pattern is expected to impact North Carolina during the February 11–17 period, bringing above-normal temperatures with potential statewide implications.
According to the NOAA Climate Prediction Center, the 8–14 day outlook strongly favors warmer-than-normal temperatures across the Southeast, including all of North Carolina. This transition follows recent cooler periods and signals a temporary move away from mid-winter conditions.
In central North Carolina, including Raleigh, Durham, and the Triangle region, average mid-February high temperatures typically range from the low to mid-50s. Forecast guidance suggests highs may frequently climb into the upper 50s and 60s during this period. Similar warming is expected across the Piedmont, including Greensboro and Charlotte, while coastal areas may see slightly milder overnight lows due to marine influence.
Across western North Carolina, including the Blue Ridge and higher elevations near Boone and Asheville, temperatures are also expected to trend above normal. Any lingering snowpack at higher elevations could begin to melt during warmer afternoons, increasing runoff into creeks and streams. While widespread flooding is not currently anticipated, localized rises are possible in mountain watersheds.
Major transportation corridors such as I-40, I-85, I-77, I-95, and U.S. Route 70 may see generally improved travel conditions compared to colder winter patterns. However, the Climate Prediction Center’s precipitation outlook indicates near to above-normal precipitation potential, meaning periods of rain are possible during the outlook window.
Rivers including the Neuse, Cape Fear, Yadkin, Catawba, and French Broad may experience modest rises if rainfall coincides with warmer temperatures. Warming conditions may also weaken ice in rare mountain locations where it formed earlier in winter.
Commuters, students, and outdoor workers may notice more spring-like afternoons, though officials caution that brief cooler mornings and variable conditions remain possible.
Residents across North Carolina are encouraged to monitor updated forecasts from the National Weather Service as confidence increases closer to the February 11–17 timeframe.
