Charleston, WV – A spring-like shift in the weather pattern is expected to impact West Virginia during the February 11–17 period, bringing above-normal temperatures with potential statewide implications.
According to the NOAA Climate Prediction Center, the 8–14 day outlook strongly favors warmer-than-normal temperatures across the central Appalachians, including all of West Virginia. This transition follows recent winter cold and signals a temporary break from persistent mid-winter conditions.
In central and western West Virginia, including Charleston, Huntington, and Parkersburg, average mid-February high temperatures typically range from the upper 30s to low 40s. Forecast guidance suggests daytime highs may frequently climb into the mid to upper 40s, with some locations reaching the low 50s. Overnight lows are also expected to moderate, reducing the frequency of hard freezes.
Across northern West Virginia, including Morgantown, Fairmont, and Clarksburg, temperatures are forecast to trend above seasonal averages, though cooler nights may still occur in valley locations. In the higher elevations of eastern and southern West Virginia, including the Allegheny Mountains and areas near Beckley, lingering snowpack may begin to thaw during warmer afternoons.
As snowmelt increases, runoff into rivers, streams, and drainage systems may rise, particularly in mountainous terrain. Transportation corridors such as I-64, I-77, I-79, US-48, and US-19 are especially sensitive to ponding and localized flooding during rapid warmups.
The Climate Prediction Center’s precipitation outlook indicates near to above-normal precipitation potential during this period. Rainfall combined with snowmelt could contribute to rises on rivers including the Kanawha, Monongahela, Ohio, Elk, and Greenbrier.
Warming temperatures may also weaken ice on mountain streams and ponds, creating hazardous conditions. The National Weather Service advises residents to avoid frozen waterways as ice conditions deteriorate.
Commuters, students, and outdoor workers may notice more spring-like afternoons, but officials caution that winter hazards can persist overnight, especially in shaded and higher-elevation areas.
Residents across West Virginia are encouraged to monitor updated forecasts, river statements, and local advisories as confidence increases closer to the February 11–17 timeframe.
