Birmingham, Alabama – The risk for winter weather across central Alabama is decreasing as forecast trends shift drier ahead of the weekend, significantly lowering the chance for accumulating snowfall.
According to the National Weather Service in Birmingham, a cold front will move through the region Friday night. While earlier forecasts suggested a higher winter weather potential, updated guidance now shows low probabilities of snowfall accumulation, particularly south of the Interstate 85 corridor.
Current projections indicate only a 10 to 20 percent chance of snowfall exceeding 0.25 inches for locations near and south of I-85 from Saturday night into Sunday. Forecasters note that the overall pattern is trending drier, reducing the likelihood of impactful winter weather across much of central Alabama.
A secondary disturbance may bring additional rainfall or mixed precipitation late Saturday night, but confidence in measurable snow accumulation continues to decline with each forecast update. Most areas are now expected to see little to no winter-related impacts.
The National Weather Service emphasized that uncertainty remains regarding the exact placement and strength of the system, particularly concerning how far south any cold air and moisture overlap. However, confidence is increasing that widespread winter weather impacts are unlikely.
Residents should still monitor forecasts, especially those in northern or eastern portions of central Alabama where colder air could briefly overlap with precipitation. Even minor temperature differences could influence precipitation type in isolated areas.
Travel impacts are not currently anticipated to be significant, but motorists are encouraged to stay alert for updated forecasts in case conditions change.
For commuters, students, and weekend travelers, the latest outlook suggests normal travel conditions for most of central Alabama, with winter weather remaining a low-probability scenario.
The National Weather Service will continue refining the forecast as additional data becomes available.
