Baja California Weather Alert: Tropical Development Possible This Weekend

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Tropical weather
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San Diego, CA – Two tropical disturbances are being monitored in the eastern Pacific Ocean near the Baja California Peninsula and off the coast of southern Mexico, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) on Friday, September 19.

Overnight satellite data showed that the first system, located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California, is producing winds below gale force. Forecasters said the disturbance could briefly strengthen into a tropical depression before it encounters cooler waters and drier air later this weekend. The NHC gives the system a medium, 60 percent chance of development within the next 48 hours and over the next seven days.

Meanwhile, a second, larger area of thunderstorms has formed a couple hundred miles south of southern Mexico. This system is associated with a trough of low pressure and is moving west-northwest at 5 to 10 mph. Meteorologists say environmental conditions appear favorable for gradual development, with the possibility of a tropical depression forming by early to mid-next week. The storm currently carries a 20 percent chance of formation in the next 48 hours, increasing to 60 percent within seven days.

Communities along Baja California and southern Mexico’s Pacific coast are advised to monitor updates through the weekend as storm paths and intensities become clearer.


This article was produced by a journalist and may include AI-assisted input. All content is reviewed for accuracy and fairness.
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