Jonesboro, Arkansas – New long-range federal climate guidance suggests February 2026 could bring above-normal snowfall across northeastern Arkansas, increasing the likelihood of winter weather impacts in a region that often experiences variable February conditions.
According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center (CPC), northeastern Arkansas is included in a broad corridor of elevated snowfall probabilities stretching from the Midwest into the Ohio and Mississippi valleys. The outlook points to a higher chance of more frequent or longer-duration snow events compared to typical February averages.
Counties near the Missouri and Tennessee borders, including areas around the Arkansas Delta, show a stronger signal for increased snowfall potential than southern portions of the state. This pattern aligns with favored winter storm tracks that occasionally dip farther south during active winter regimes.
CPC monthly outlooks do not provide specific snowfall totals or storm timing. Instead, they assess how total snowfall during the month may compare to long-term averages. For February 2026, the guidance suggests cumulative snowfall or the number of snow events could exceed normal levels across northeastern Arkansas.
Temperature outlooks for February indicate near-normal conditions across much of Arkansas. In northeastern areas, this temperature profile supports snow rather than rain or mixed precipitation during colder systems, particularly overnight and during stronger Arctic intrusions.
Neighboring regions including Missouri, Tennessee, Kentucky, and northern Mississippi are also included in the above-normal snowfall zone, reinforcing confidence in a broader regional winter pattern rather than isolated systems.
Residents, commuters, and freight operators in northeastern Arkansas are encouraged to monitor updated forecasts as February approaches, when outlooks are refined and confidence increases closer to the season.
