Little Rock, Arkansas – Arkansas is settling into a quieter late-winter pattern as January winds down, with noticeable temperature swings expected across the state while precipitation chances remain low into early February.
According to the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center, the Jan. 24–Feb. 6 outlook places Arkansas in an equal-chance category for both temperature and precipitation. This signals a transitional setup, where a nearby cold front allows alternating pushes of cooler and milder air without drawing in meaningful moisture.
Central Arkansas, including Little Rock, Conway, and Benton, could see temperatures fluctuate from cool mornings to relatively mild afternoons, with day-to-day swings becoming more noticeable as the front shifts north and south. These changes may complicate planning but are not expected to create significant hazards.
Northern Arkansas, including Fayetteville, Springdale, and Harrison, may feel sharper cool-downs when colder air briefly settles south, especially overnight. Southern Arkansas, including Pine Bluff, El Dorado, and Texarkana, is expected to remain milder overall, with smaller temperature drops during colder periods.
With no strong storm systems indicated, rain chances remain low statewide. The main impacts will involve adjusting to changing temperatures rather than travel or weather-related disruptions. Residents are encouraged to dress in layers and stay mindful of cooler mornings and evenings.
This pattern of temperature variability is expected to persist into early February. While conditions remain quiet for now, updated outlooks may follow if the position of the cold front shifts or becomes more active.
