Little Rock, Arkansas – Winter may not be finished influencing daily conditions across Arkansas, as Groundhog Day tradition and long-range climate signals both suggest a slower transition into spring. Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow Monday morning, signaling six more weeks of winter and pushing expectations for a dependable warm-up closer to mid-March.
According to the National Weather Service, Arkansas falls into an “equal chances” category for temperatures from February through April. That outlook keeps the risk of late-season cold snaps and sharp temperature swings in play, especially during overnight and early morning hours. Northwest Arkansas, including Fayetteville, Springdale, and Bentonville, remains more vulnerable to brief winter intrusions, while central and southern parts of the state may see rapid shifts between chilly rain and milder afternoons.
Precipitation is expected to be a key factor this spring. According to NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, Arkansas is included in a broader region favored for above-normal precipitation through early spring. That raises concerns for repeated rain events, occasional wintry mixes during colder periods, and rising water levels along rivers such as the Arkansas, White, and Ouachita. Travel along I-40, I-30, and U.S. 67 can be impacted during heavier rain or passing cold fronts.
While the Farmers’ Almanac notes spring officially begins Friday, March 20, and highlights a total lunar eclipse early Tuesday, March 3, winter influences may continue beyond those milestones. Arkansans are encouraged to stay weather-aware, plan for changing road conditions, and monitor future advisories, as late-winter variability could remain part of the pattern into early spring.
