Arizona — Cold mist clings to the ponderosa pines east of Flagstaff this early morning, and wet pavement glimmers beneath low clouds drifting across the mountains. The air feels sharp, steady, and unsettled—an early sign that a Winter Tease is about to strengthen right as the first wave of Thanksgiving travel begins.
Showers continue today with highs near the mid-40s as south winds increase to near 20 mph. Roads remain damp across I-40 and I-17, and brief downpours may slow the morning commute. Thunderstorms remain possible after midday, producing heavier bursts of rain and a few wind gusts. Residents should prepare for quick visibility drops and ponding in low spots.
Tonight brings another round of rain with gusts over 25 mph. Temperatures fall toward the mid-30s, setting the stage for the week’s biggest hazard.
Wednesday and Wednesday night bring the crucial transition. A stronger wave deepens over northern Arizona with rain and snow showers likely, and models hint at a possible changeover after sunset. Higher neighborhoods and the Mogollon Rim could see 2–4 inches of snow, with locally higher amounts above 7,000 feet. Wind-blown snow may briefly reduce visibility, creating challenging travel windows for drivers heading east toward Winslow or south toward Munds Park.
Thursday morning sees lingering snow showers, especially before 11 a.m., though new accumulation should stay under an inch in most lower-elevation areas. Slick and slushy stretches are possible on bridges and shaded corridors. Travelers should allow extra time and check updated road conditions before heading out for early holiday plans.
Friday trends drier with highs in the mid-40s. Saturday turns sunny and cool—ideal for errands, holiday prep, or early visitors arriving before the next pattern shift.
