Phoenix, Arizona – A mild desert dawn greets the Valley this Veterans Day morning — 64°F under clear skies, palm fronds barely stirring in the still air. The sun will rise fast and fierce, bringing another unseasonably warm day for mid-November, with highs pushing the upper 80s by afternoon.
According to the National Weather Service in Phoenix, this early-week warmth holds steady through midweek as dry air dominates the region. Winds remain light out of the east, and skies stay mostly sunny through Wednesday and Thursday. Afternoon highs near 86°F could flirt with daily records, making it feel more like late September than mid-fall.
By Friday, however, a Pacific disturbance begins shifting toward Arizona, breaking the long dry spell and introducing the first real rain chance in nearly a month. Models indicate a 40–50% chance of showers and isolated thunderstorms across the metro Friday into Saturday. Forecasters note potential for brief downpours and gusty winds, especially along I-10 and I-17 corridors during the afternoon commute.
Rainfall amounts should stay modest — generally less than a half-inch — but slick roads and localized ponding may slow travel across Maricopa and Pinal counties.
Looking ahead, the weekend trend turns cooler and partly cloudy, with highs dropping into the low to mid-70s by Sunday. After a stretch of sun and warmth, this late-week shift will bring a welcome taste of November weather balance — sunshine, scattered rain, and a gentle hint that Arizona’s brief winter isn’t too far away.
Five-Day Outlook for Phoenix, AZ:
Mon: 86/59 – Sunny; warm and dry.
Tue: 84/60 – Mostly clear; calm wind.
Wed: 86/61 – Partly sunny; breezy.
Thu: 86/64 – Increasing clouds late.
Fri: 75/57 – Showers and t-storms; cooler.
