Phoenix, Arizona – Arizona heads into the Feb 5–9 period under a dominant above-normal temperature pattern, bringing warmer-than-average conditions and very limited chances for rain or snow statewide. With high pressure firmly in control across the Desert Southwest, the stretch is expected to feel more like early spring than mid-winter, especially across lower elevations.
According to the National Weather Service and regional climate outlooks, a strong ridge over the western U.S. will continue to suppress storm systems while allowing temperatures to climb above seasonal norms. This setup keeps meaningful precipitation focused well north of Arizona, leaving most of the state dry through the period.
In Phoenix, Tucson, and surrounding desert communities, daytime highs are expected to run several degrees above average, with mild mornings and warm afternoons. Central Arizona valleys may see some of the warmest departures from normal, while overnight lows remain seasonable. Across northern Arizona, including Flagstaff and the Mogollon Rim, temperatures will also trend above normal, though colder nights will persist and snowfall chances remain minimal outside of the highest elevations.
The warm and dry pattern stands in sharp contrast to the prolonged cold gripping much of the eastern U.S., where recent cold spells have contributed to nearly 100 temperature-related deaths in southern states. In Arizona, officials continue to urge caution around early-season fire risk and encourage water conservation as dry conditions persist.
The above-normal warmth and quiet weather pattern are expected to hold through the stretch, with little indication of widespread rain or mountain snow returning before the period ends.
