Phoenix, Arizona – A more active February weather pattern is expected to take shape across Arizona through late week, bringing above-normal chances for rain and mountain snow across much of the state. The shift marks a departure from the recent dry trend and raises the potential for travel impacts, especially in higher elevations.
According to the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center, the 6–10 day outlook from February 10–14 favors above-normal precipitation across Arizona, with storm systems more likely to track across the Southwest. Temperature trends remain mixed, but increased moisture supports higher odds for both desert rainfall and accumulating snow in the high country.
In central and southern Arizona, including Phoenix, Tucson, and the Interstate 10 corridor, periods of rain are more likely than normal for mid-February. While rainfall amounts remain uncertain, even moderate showers could lead to slick roads and reduced visibility during commutes. In northern Arizona, including Flagstaff, the Mogollon Rim, and portions of the White Mountains, snow chances are expected to increase, with travel impacts possible along Interstate 40 and State Route 89.
Drivers heading into higher terrain should be prepared for rapidly changing conditions, including snow-covered roads and reduced traction. Residents are encouraged to monitor local alerts, allow extra travel time, and check road conditions before heading out.
This wetter pattern is expected to persist through late week, and additional advisories or winter weather alerts may be issued as individual systems approach.


