Phoenix, Arizona – Arizona is expected to close out January and begin February under a warm and largely dry weather pattern, with above-average temperatures spreading statewide and little to no precipitation anticipated.
According to the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center, the Jan. 24–Feb. 6 outlook favors above-normal temperatures across the Desert Southwest with below-normal precipitation probabilities. A strong ridge of high pressure is forecast to remain in place, steering storm systems well north of Arizona and limiting rain and mountain snow chances.
South-central Arizona, including Phoenix, Tempe, and Mesa, is expected to see daytime highs running several degrees above seasonal averages, with dry skies and mild afternoons. Overnight lows will remain cooler but manageable, supporting stable travel conditions across I-10 and Loop 101.
Southern Arizona, including Tucson and Cochise County, will also trend warmer than normal with dry conditions continuing through the period. Northern Arizona, including Flagstaff and the Mogollon Rim, is expected to see milder-than-average temperatures for late January, with limited opportunities for snowfall, which may slow short-term snowpack gains.
The primary impacts statewide will be tied to continued dry weather, including elevated fire weather awareness in lower desert areas and limited moisture recharge. Outdoor activities and travel are expected to see minimal weather disruptions.
Above-average temperatures are expected to persist into early February. While the pattern remains quiet for now, updated outlooks may follow if the ridge weakens or storm systems begin to shift farther south later in the month.
