Arizona Forecast Update: Thunderstorm Chances Climb Tuesday Night in Phoenix — Weekend Rain Returns by Friday

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Phoenix, Arizona – Thunderstorm chances are rising again for the Phoenix metro, just as high heat grips the Valley on Tuesday, July 15. Residents should brace for a triple-digit scorcher with temperatures peaking near 107°F, followed by a 20% chance of storms Tuesday night, bringing gusty winds and brief, localized downpours.

According to the National Weather Service, the greatest risk for thunderstorm activity hits Wednesday with a 50% chance of rain, mainly after 11 a.m. New rainfall amounts could top a tenth of an inch, but stronger cells may produce brief flooding and wind gusts topping 30 mph. Motorists traveling along I-10 and Loop 202 should expect slower travel and potentially slick roads through Wednesday evening.

Thursday and Friday bring fluctuating storm chances, with Thursday’s high near 101°F and another round of afternoon storms possible. Storm activity could temporarily relieve Phoenix’s heat but may cause power disruptions or isolated flooding.

By the weekend, storm chances ease slightly. Saturday looks partly cloudy with a 10% chance of storms and a high near 104°F. Sunday remains hot and dry, with sunshine and a high near 106°F returning as monsoon activity briefly pauses.

📆 Five-Day Forecast for Phoenix (Starting Tuesday, July 15):

  • Tuesday: Sunny, hot. High near 107°F. Evening storm risk (20%).
  • Wednesday: 50% chance of storms after 11 a.m. High near 103°F.
  • Thursday: 50% chance of storms. High near 101°F.
  • Friday: 40% chance of storms. High near 104°F.
  • Saturday: 10% chance of storms. High near 104°F.
  • Sunday: Sunny and hot. High near 106°F.

⚠️ Prepare for fast-changing conditions. Storm chances continue into the weekend. Watch for weather alerts from NWS and local agencies.