New Mexico — A calm, cool dawn settles over the Rio Grande Valley, and the air feels crisp but quiet, with dry pavement glinting faintly under early morning lights. The stillness offers a brief pause before a more unsettled midweek pattern arrives just as Thanksgiving travel across I-25 and I-40 begins to ramp up.
Today stays mostly benign, with partly sunny skies and temperatures climbing into the low 60s. Light winds shift from the south by afternoon, keeping the air mild and comfortable for commuters and early travelers. To be fair, today serves as the calm before the developing system that edges closer to central New Mexico.
Late tonight brings the first 20% shower chance, mainly after 2 a.m. Moisture increases from the southwest, and a few early pockets of sprinkles may form near the foothills. Roads stay mostly manageable, but travelers should monitor changing conditions before dawn.
Wednesday carries a more noticeable moisture push, with a 20% chance of showers during the day and highs near the upper 50s. Skies turn increasingly gray, and light south winds pick up to 10 mph. The main event arrives Wednesday night, when shower coverage rises to 60%, and a few stronger pockets of rain could develop across the metro. Cooler bench elevations may even see an early Winter Tease, though temperatures should stay too warm for any widespread changeover.
Thursday remains unsettled, with 70% shower chances and isolated thunderstorms possible during the late morning. Travel delays may occur along I-25, I-40, and surface routes during heavier waves of rain. The pattern gradually weakens Thursday evening as drier air returns.
Friday turns mostly sunny and mild, setting up a pleasant stretch into Saturday—ideal for shopping trips, family arrivals, and outdoor Thanksgiving prep before another pattern shift next week.
