Montgomery, Alabama – Drier conditions and well above-normal temperatures could impact Alabama Feb. 18-22, limiting rainfall statewide.
According to the National Weather Service 6-10 Day Outlook issued Thursday, Feb. 12, precipitation across Alabama is expected to trend below seasonal averages during the Feb. 18-22 period. Meanwhile, temperatures carry an 80-90% probability of running above normal, signaling a sustained mild pattern across the Southeast.
Most of the state, including Birmingham, Huntsville and Mobile, is expected to see limited rainfall during the period. Any isolated showers that develop are not expected to produce widespread impacts.
With temperatures trending well above average, winter precipitation is not a concern across Alabama. Northern counties near the Tennessee border are also forecast to remain largely above freezing, reducing the risk of wintry mixing.
The broader weather pattern supports more active precipitation and snowfall potential farther north across portions of the Midwest and interior Northeast. Across Alabama and much of the Southeast, the dominant signal favors warmth and reduced rainfall.
For commuters and college students returning after President’s Day week, mainly dry conditions could support smoother travel along Interstate 65, Interstate 20 and Interstate 10 corridors, with minimal weather-related disruptions expected.
The National Weather Service notes that 6-10 day outlooks reflect probability trends rather than exact temperature or rainfall totals. Residents are encouraged to monitor updated forecasts for refined details as the period approaches.



