Mid-South – Large Hail, Damaging Winds & Severe Storm Risk for Georgia, Alabama & Tennessee

Memphis, TN – Large hail, damaging winds, and isolated tornadoes are possible this afternoon and evening across the Mid-South and Tennessee Valley. ⚠️🌩️

According to the NOAA Storm Prediction Center, a Slight Risk of severe thunderstorms covers parts of Arkansas, Mississippi, Alabama, Tennessee, and northwest Georgia on Monday as storms develop and move east through the region.

Forecasters say thunderstorms already forming across Arkansas may continue through the afternoon while organizing into a larger cluster moving toward the Tennessee Valley. Atmospheric conditions including mid-level lapse rates near 7–8°C/km and moderate instability could allow storms to strengthen as they progress east.

The strongest storms could produce hail between 1 and 2 inches in diameter, with some isolated storms potentially generating hail larger than 2 inches, according to SPC meteorologists.

As storms organize into a bowing line across northern Mississippi, northern Alabama, and northwest Georgia, the primary hazard may shift toward damaging straight-line winds capable of downing trees or causing scattered power outages.

Forecasters also note a modest increase in low-level wind shear, combined with dew points reaching 68–72°F, may allow a few storms to rotate. This setup could produce a couple of tornadoes, particularly near lingering storm boundaries left by earlier thunderstorms.

Additional isolated storms may develop farther southwest along a marine warm front near southeast Texas, where large hail is also possible.

The strongest storms are expected during the afternoon and evening hours, with activity gradually shifting east into northwest Georgia by late evening.

⚠️ Residents across the region are encouraged to monitor local forecasts and have multiple ways to receive warnings if severe weather develops.

For commuters and students returning home Monday evening, storms could lead to localized travel delays and rapidly changing road conditions.

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