Louisville, Kentucky – A stretch of chilly, soaking rain is shaping up across Kentucky ahead of St. Patrick’s Day, with daytime temperatures largely holding in the 40s and low 50s between March 11 and March 17.
According to the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center, Kentucky falls within a 40-50% probability zone for above-normal precipitation during the 8-14 day period. Temperatures are projected to trend near to slightly above seasonal averages statewide, which should keep most precipitation falling as rain rather than snow, especially across central and western counties.
In Louisville and along the Interstate 65 corridor, multiple systems tracking through the Ohio Valley could bring periods of steady rainfall. Daytime highs in the upper 40s will create a damp, raw feel, particularly when combined with occasional breezy conditions. In Lexington and along Interstate 75, similar conditions are expected, with reduced visibility possible during heavier rain bands.
Eastern Kentucky, including Pikeville and communities along the Mountain Parkway, may see cooler overnight lows dipping into the lower 30s. A brief rain-to-snow mix cannot be ruled out in higher elevations during pre-dawn hours, but widespread accumulation appears unlikely at this time.
Motorists statewide should prepare for ponding on roadways and slower commutes during steadier rainfall, particularly along Interstate 64 and Interstate 24 corridors. Additional updates are expected as the March 11-17 window approaches and system timing becomes clearer.
