Minnesota–Wisconsin Weather: 40-50% Above-Normal Precipitation and Below-Normal Temps Increase Snow Odds March 11-17

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Minneapolis, Minnesota – A colder air mass locking into the Upper Midwest ahead of St. Patrick’s Day could turn multiple storm systems into accumulating snow across Minnesota and much of Wisconsin between March 11 and March 17.

According to the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center, both states sit within a 40-50% probability zone for above-normal precipitation during the 8-14 day period. At the same time, temperatures are favored to trend below normal statewide. That combination significantly increases the likelihood that incoming systems produce measurable snowfall instead of early-spring rain.

In Minneapolis, St. Paul and St. Cloud, overnight lows dipping into the 20s and lower 30s could support steady accumulation if moderate precipitation develops. Along Interstate 94 from Alexandria through Eau Claire into the Twin Cities, bursts of heavier precipitation before sunrise may reduce visibility and create slick stretches on bridges and overpasses.

In western Wisconsin, including Hudson and Eau Claire, colder surface temperatures may allow snow to accumulate more efficiently, especially during nighttime hours. Milwaukee and Madison could see a mix at times, but any deeper push of cold air would favor wet snow during peak intensity.

Drivers across Minnesota and Wisconsin should prepare for changing road conditions during early morning commutes. Even late-season snowfall can create hazardous travel. Additional updates are expected as the March 11-17 window approaches and storm timing becomes more defined.