Virginia Weather Alert: 40–50% Above-Normal Rain Chance March 5-11 With Travel Impacts

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Richmond, Virginia – Virginians should prepare for a wetter-than-average stretch March 5-11, with multiple rain chances that could slow commutes and gradually raise water levels on rivers and streams statewide.

According to the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center, Virginia falls within a 40 to 50 percent chance of above-normal precipitation during the March 5-11 period. While the rain signal is stronger across the Ohio and Tennessee valleys, the Mid-Atlantic remains favored for repeated systems delivering measurable rainfall. Temperatures are also expected to trend above average across much of the Commonwealth.

In Richmond, Norfolk, Roanoke, Charlottesville and Northern Virginia suburbs near Washington, most precipitation will fall as rain. Warmer air should dominate, although far western mountain communities could briefly see mixing during overnight hours if cooler air lingers.

Periods of steady rainfall may create ponding along Interstates 95, 64 and 81, especially in urban corridors and low-lying stretches. The James, Potomac and Rappahannock rivers could see gradual rises if multiple systems track over the same watersheds.

Residents should clear storm drains, monitor local river forecasts and allow extra travel time during heavier rain. The unsettled pattern continues through March 11, and additional advisories could be issued if rainfall trends increase.