Topeka, Kan. – A warmer-than-normal start to March is expected across Kansas, with mild air favoring mostly rain from Sunday, March 1, through Thursday, March 5.
According to NOAA’s 6-10 day outlook issued Monday, Kansas is favored to see above-normal temperatures during the March 1-5 stretch, while precipitation trends near to slightly above seasonal averages across the central Plains. That warmer pattern significantly lowers the risk of widespread snow, with rain expected to be the primary precipitation type statewide.
In eastern Kansas, including Kansas City, Topeka and Manhattan, passing rain showers are the most likely scenario as systems track across the region. Periods of steadier rainfall could create slick stretches along Interstate 70 and Interstate 35, particularly during the morning and evening commute.
Central communities such as Salina and Hutchinson may also see multiple rounds of rain. While a brief rain-snow mix cannot be entirely ruled out during overnight hours in northern areas, temperatures are expected to remain warm enough to prevent meaningful accumulation.
Farther west, including Dodge City and Garden City, rain should dominate with little to no wintry concern. Drivers should remain alert for reduced visibility and ponding on roadways during heavier showers, especially in low-lying or poor-drainage areas.
With temperatures trending above normal, early March will feel more like spring across much of Kansas. Additional refinements are expected later this week as the March 1-5 window approaches and system timing becomes clearer.
