Dallas, Texas – A warmer-than-normal start to March is lining up for North Central Texas, with mild air favoring mostly rain from Sunday, March 1, through Thursday, March 5.
According to NOAA’s 6-10 day outlook issued Monday, North Central Texas is favored to see above-normal temperatures during the March 1-5 stretch, while precipitation trends near to slightly above seasonal averages across parts of Texas and the southern Plains. That warmer pattern significantly reduces the likelihood of wintry weather, with rain expected to be the dominant precipitation type across the Dallas-Fort Worth Metroplex.
In Dallas, Fort Worth, Arlington and Plano, passing rain showers are the most likely scenario as disturbances move across the region. Periods of steadier rainfall could create slick stretches along Interstate 35E, Interstate 30 and U.S. Highway 75, especially during the morning and evening commute.
Communities north of the Metroplex, including Denton and McKinney, are also expected to remain predominantly rainy with little to no snow concern. While a brief rain-snow mix cannot be completely ruled out in far northern fringe areas during overnight hours, temperatures are forecast to remain warm enough to prevent accumulation.
Drivers should remain alert for reduced visibility and ponding on roadways during heavier showers, particularly in low-lying or poor-drainage areas. With temperatures trending above normal, early March will feel more like mid-spring across much of North Central Texas.
Additional refinements are expected later this week as the March 1-5 window approaches and system timing becomes clearer.
