Salt Lake City, Utah – A broad warming signal is expected to expand across Utah as February transitions into March, increasing the probability that winter’s most persistent cold becomes less dominant statewide during the Feb. 28 through Mar. 13 timeframe.
According to the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center, Utah carries a 33% to 50% probability of above-normal temperatures in the Week 3-4 outlook. That warmer signal stretches from the Interstate 15 corridor through Salt Lake City and Provo south toward St. George, and west-to-east along Interstate 80 and Interstate 70 across northern and central Utah.
This extended-range guidance favors more seasonable to slightly milder conditions compared to late-February averages. While colder stretches remain possible in higher elevations of the Wasatch and Uinta Mountains, the broader atmospheric pattern suggests fewer prolonged Arctic intrusions settling across valley locations along the Wasatch Front.
Precipitation probabilities during the same period lean near normal across much of the state. No dominant wet or dry anomaly stands out in the long-range outlook, indicating that typical late-winter systems remain possible without a strong signal for excessive mountain snowfall or extended dry conditions in southern Utah.
Communities from Logan and Ogden to Salt Lake City, Cedar City and St. George fall within this gradual transition toward early-spring conditions. The Week 3-4 outlook reflects large-scale atmospheric trends rather than specific storm timing or day-to-day weather details.
Additional refinements are expected as the late-February to mid-March window approaches and shorter-range guidance becomes available.
