Virginia Beach, Virginia – A broad warming signal is emerging across eastern Virginia as February transitions into March, increasing the likelihood that winter’s sharpest cold becomes less persistent from Richmond to the Atlantic coast during the Feb. 28 through Mar. 13 timeframe.
According to the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center, eastern Virginia carries a 33% to 50% probability of above-normal temperatures in the Week 3-4 outlook. That warmer signal stretches from the Interstate 95 corridor in Richmond eastward along Interstate 64 through Williamsburg and into Hampton Roads, including Virginia Beach and Norfolk.
This extended-range guidance favors more seasonable to slightly milder conditions compared to late-February averages. While brief cold snaps remain possible, the broader atmospheric pattern suggests fewer prolonged Arctic intrusions impacting major population centers and key routes such as I-64, I-95 and I-264.
Precipitation probabilities during the same period lean near normal across coastal and central portions of the commonwealth. No dominant wet or dry anomaly stands out in the long-range outlook, meaning typical late-winter systems remain possible without a strong signal for excessive rainfall or extended dry conditions.
Communities across Richmond, Newport News, Norfolk and Virginia Beach fall within this gradual transition toward early-spring conditions. The Week 3-4 outlook reflects large-scale atmospheric trends rather than specific storm timing or day-to-day weather details.
Additional refinements are expected as the late-February to mid-March window approaches and shorter-range guidance becomes available.
