Wilmington, Delaware – A broader warming pattern is expected to take hold across Delaware as February transitions into March, increasing the probability that winter’s most persistent cold becomes less frequent during the Feb. 28 through Mar. 13 timeframe.
According to the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center, Delaware carries a 33% to 50% probability of above-normal temperatures in the Week 3-4 outlook. That warmer signal covers the entire First State, from the Interstate 95 corridor near Wilmington to central communities along U.S. Route 13 and southern areas near Route 1 in Sussex County.
This extended-range guidance favors more seasonable to slightly milder conditions compared to late-February averages. While brief cold snaps remain possible, the larger-scale atmospheric pattern suggests fewer prolonged Arctic intrusions impacting major population centers including Wilmington, Newark, Dover and Georgetown.
Precipitation probabilities during the same period lean near normal statewide. No dominant wet or dry anomaly stands out in the long-range outlook, meaning typical late-winter systems remain possible without a strong signal for excessive snowfall or extended dry conditions.
Communities across New Castle, Kent and Sussex counties fall within this gradual transition toward early-spring conditions. The Week 3-4 outlook reflects broad atmospheric trends rather than specific storm timing or daily weather details.
Additional refinements are expected as the late-February to mid-March window approaches and shorter-range guidance becomes available.


