Baltimore, Maryland – A broader warming trend is expected to expand across Maryland as February transitions into March, increasing the probability that winter’s sharpest cold becomes less persistent during the Feb. 28 through Mar. 13 timeframe.
According to the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center, Maryland carries a 33% to 50% probability of above-normal temperatures in the Week 3-4 outlook. That warmer signal stretches statewide, from western counties along Interstate 68 and Interstate 70 to the Interstate 95 corridor through Baltimore and down toward the Chesapeake Bay region.
This extended-range guidance favors more seasonable to slightly milder conditions compared to late-February averages. While brief cold snaps remain possible, the larger-scale atmospheric pattern suggests fewer prolonged Arctic intrusions affecting major population centers including Baltimore, Annapolis, Frederick and Salisbury.
Precipitation probabilities during the same period lean near normal across Maryland. No dominant wet or dry anomaly stands out in the long-range outlook, meaning typical late-winter systems remain possible without a strong signal for excessive snowfall or extended dry stretches.
Communities across western Maryland, central corridors and the Eastern Shore fall within this gradual transition toward early-spring conditions. The Week 3-4 outlook reflects broad atmospheric trends rather than specific storm timing or day-to-day weather details.
Additional refinements are expected as the late-February to mid-March window approaches and shorter-range guidance becomes available.
