Oklahoma City, Oklahoma – A surge of springlike warmth is poised to expand across Oklahoma in the Feb. 21–27 window, with temperatures strongly favored to run well above late-February averages statewide.
According to the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center, Oklahoma falls within a 70% to 80% probability zone for above-normal temperatures during the 8- to 14-day outlook. That signals a dominant warm pattern from the Panhandle through central and eastern counties, with afternoon highs climbing several degrees above seasonal norms.
Rain chances remain present but are more limited than the temperature signal. The state sits in a 33% to 40% probability range for above-normal precipitation, meaning passing systems could bring rounds of showers. Northern Oklahoma, including Tulsa and Ponca City, may see periodic rain if systems track across the Plains, while central areas such as Oklahoma City and Norman could experience scattered showers with brief heavier bursts.
Drivers should prepare for wet stretches along I-35, I-40 and the Turner Turnpike during passing showers, especially where heavier rain may lead to ponding on roadways.
The broader pattern favors sustained warmth with occasional rain rather than a return to winter cold. Additional updates from the National Weather Service may refine rainfall timing as late February approaches.
