New Orleans, Louisiana – A surge of springlike warmth is poised to expand across Louisiana in the Feb. 21–27 window, with temperatures strongly favored to run well above late-February averages statewide.
According to the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center, Louisiana falls within a 70% to 80% probability zone for above-normal temperatures during the 8- to 14-day outlook. That signals a dominant warm pattern, with afternoon highs climbing several degrees above seasonal norms from Shreveport to Baton Rouge and along the Gulf Coast.
Rain chances remain present but more modest compared to the strength of the warm signal. The state sits in a 33% to 40% probability range for above-normal precipitation, meaning periodic systems could bring rounds of showers. Northern parishes near Monroe and Alexandria may see passing rain at times, while southern Louisiana, including New Orleans and Lafayette, could experience scattered showers with brief heavier bursts if Gulf moisture increases.
Drivers should prepare for wet stretches along I-10, I-12 and I-20 during passing showers, especially where heavier rain may lead to ponding on roadways. Warmer temperatures may also trigger early vegetation growth and rising pollen levels.
The overall pattern favors sustained warmth with occasional rain rather than a return to winter chill. Additional updates from the National Weather Service may refine rainfall timing as late February approaches.
