Jackson, Mississippi – A surge of springlike warmth is poised to take hold across Mississippi in the Feb. 21–27 window, with temperatures strongly favored to run well above late-February averages statewide.
According to the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center, Mississippi falls within a 70% to 80% probability zone for above-normal temperatures during the 8- to 14-day outlook. That signals a dominant warm pattern, with afternoon highs climbing several degrees above seasonal norms from the Delta through central Mississippi and south toward the Gulf Coast.
Rain chances remain present but are less aggressive than the temperature signal. The state sits in a 33% to 40% probability range for above-normal precipitation, meaning passing systems could bring rounds of showers. Northern counties near Greenville and Tupelo may see periodic rain, while central areas including Jackson and Meridian could experience scattered showers with brief heavier bursts.
Drivers should prepare for wet stretches along I-55, I-20 and U.S. 49 during passing showers. Warmer air may also accelerate early vegetation growth and rising pollen levels across central and southern Mississippi.
The broader pattern favors sustained warmth with occasional rain rather than a return to winter chill. Additional updates from the National Weather Service may refine rainfall timing as late February approaches.
