Nashville, Tennessee – Near-normal rainfall and well above-normal temperatures could impact Tennessee Feb. 18-22, limiting winter weather risk statewide.
According to the National Weather Service 6-10 Day Outlook issued Thursday, Feb. 12, precipitation across Tennessee is expected to remain near seasonal averages during the Feb. 18-22 period. However, temperatures are forecast with an 80-90% probability of running above normal, signaling a sustained mild pattern.
Most of the state, including Nashville, Memphis and Knoxville, is expected to see primarily rain during any precipitation events. With temperatures trending above average, the likelihood of widespread snow or ice remains low.
East Tennessee, including Chattanooga and higher elevations along the North Carolina border, could see brief overnight mixing if localized cold pockets develop. However, significant winter accumulation is not currently projected.
The broader weather pattern supports heavier snowfall potential farther north across the Upper Midwest and interior Northeast. Across the Southeast, the dominant trend remains mild with periodic rain chances.
For commuters and college students returning after President’s Day week, periods of steady rainfall could create slick travel conditions along Interstate 40, Interstate 65 and Interstate 24 corridors, particularly during peak drive times.
The National Weather Service notes that 6-10 day outlooks reflect probability trends rather than exact storm totals. Residents are encouraged to monitor updated forecasts for refined rainfall timing and temperature details as the period approaches.
