Harrisburg, Pennsylvania – Rain and a potential rain-snow mix could impact Pennsylvania Feb. 18-22, with northern counties facing the highest winter risk.
According to the National Weather Service 6-10 Day Outlook issued Thursday, Feb. 12, above-normal precipitation is favored across Pennsylvania during the Feb. 18-22 period. Northern Pennsylvania, including Erie, Bradford and areas near the New York border, may see periods of snow or a rain and snow mix, especially if temperatures hover near freezing.
Localized sleet is possible in transition zones where warmer surface air interacts with colder air aloft. While widespread heavy snowfall is not currently projected, minor accumulations cannot be ruled out across elevated and northern counties.
Central Pennsylvania, including State College and Harrisburg, is more likely to see primarily rain with brief mixing during overnight or early morning hours. Southeastern Pennsylvania, including Philadelphia and surrounding suburbs, is expected to see mostly rain.
The broader weather pattern supports heavier snowfall potential across Minnesota and Wisconsin, while mixed precipitation extends across Michigan, northern Ohio and upstate New York.
Temperatures are forecast to trend above normal across much of the eastern United States, increasing the likelihood of shifting precipitation types across northern Pennsylvania.
For commuters and students returning after President’s Day week, fluctuating precipitation could create slick travel conditions during early morning hours, particularly along Interstate 80 and Interstate 81 corridors.
The National Weather Service emphasizes that 6-10 day outlooks reflect probabilities rather than exact storm totals. Residents should monitor updated forecasts for refined timing and accumulation estimates.
