Detroit, Michigan – A mid-February warm-up is expected across Michigan, with temperatures forecast to run 10 to 20 degrees above normal from Feb. 16–20, according to the NOAA Climate Prediction Center.
The Climate Prediction Center’s 6–10 day temperature outlook shows a strong signal for above-normal temperatures statewide, including Detroit and Grand Rapids. Probabilities for warmer-than-average conditions exceed 60 percent, indicating a high-confidence shift away from typical mid-winter cold.
Under normal conditions, mid-February highs across Michigan generally range from the upper 20s to mid-30s, with colder readings across northern and interior sections. During this warm stretch, daytime temperatures are expected to climb into the upper 30s and 40s, with southern Lower Michigan potentially seeing highs approach the lower 50s during peak warmth.
This warming trend is part of a broader weather pattern affecting much of the central and eastern United States. Across parts of the Midwest and Mississippi Valley, temperatures are expected to rise into the 50s and 60s, reinforcing what forecasters often describe as a late-winter “spring tease.”
Precipitation outlooks indicate near to slightly above-normal precipitation across the Great Lakes region during this timeframe. Combined with warmer temperatures, melting snowpack could lead to localized ponding, river rises, and minor flooding, particularly in low-lying areas and locations with poor drainage.
Forecasters emphasize that this outlook reflects probabilistic climate guidance, not a day-to-day forecast. Cold air and wintry weather can still return later in February, and residents are encouraged to monitor local forecasts for updated details.
For commuters, students, and outdoor workers, the milder stretch may offer brief relief from winter cold, though rapidly changing conditions remain possible.
