Columbia, South Carolina – A notable mid-February warm-up is expected across South Carolina, with temperatures forecast to run 10 to 20 degrees above normal from Feb. 16–20, according to the NOAA Climate Prediction Center.
The Climate Prediction Center’s 6–10 day temperature outlook indicates a strong signal for above-normal temperatures statewide, including Columbia and Charleston. Probabilities for warmer-than-average conditions exceed 60 percent, pointing to a high-confidence shift away from typical winter patterns.
Under normal conditions, mid-February highs across South Carolina generally range from the lower 50s to upper 50s. During this warm stretch, daytime temperatures are expected to climb into the upper 60s and 70s, with some inland and southern areas potentially reaching the mid-70s during peak warmth.
This warming trend is part of a broader weather pattern affecting much of the central and eastern United States. While the Midwest and Mississippi Valley are expected to see highs in the 50s and 60s, the Southeast is likely to experience a more pronounced taste of spring, often described by forecasters as a “spring tease.”
Precipitation outlooks show near to slightly above-normal rainfall potential during this timeframe. Combined with warmer temperatures, this could increase the risk for localized flooding, especially in low-lying areas, along rivers, and in urban locations with poor drainage.
Forecasters emphasize that this outlook reflects large-scale climate probabilities, not a day-to-day forecast. Cooler air can still return later in February, and residents are encouraged to monitor local forecasts for updated information.
For commuters, students, and outdoor workers, the warmer stretch may provide temporary relief from winter chill, though changing conditions remain possible.
