Providence, Rhode Island – A mid-February warm-up is forecast to bring temperatures 10 to 20 degrees above normal across Rhode Island from Feb. 16–20, according to the NOAA Climate Prediction Center.
The Climate Prediction Center’s 6–10 day outlook shows a strong probability of above-normal temperatures across the state, including Providence and Warwick. Probabilities exceed 60 percent, signaling a high-confidence shift away from typical winter conditions.
Under normal circumstances, mid-February highs in Rhode Island generally range from the upper 20s to mid-30s. During this warm stretch, daytime temperatures are expected to climb into the upper 30s and 40s, with some coastal and urban locations briefly reaching the lower 50s, depending on cloud cover and wind direction.
The warming trend is part of a broader weather pattern impacting much of the central and eastern United States. While the most pronounced warmth—highs in the 50s and 60s—is expected across portions of the Midwest and Mississippi Valley, southern New England is still likely to experience a noticeable but temporary break from winter cold often described as a “spring tease.”
Precipitation outlooks indicate near to slightly above-normal precipitation potential during this period. When combined with rising temperatures, melting snowpack could contribute to localized ponding, river rises, and minor flooding, particularly in low-lying areas and locations with poor drainage.
Forecasters stress that this outlook reflects large-scale climate probabilities, not a day-to-day forecast. Winter conditions can still return later in February, and residents are encouraged to monitor local forecasts for updated information.
For commuters, students, and outdoor workers, the milder stretch may offer short-term relief from winter cold, though rapidly changing conditions remain possible.
