Hartford, Connecticut – A mid-February warm-up is expected across Connecticut, with temperatures forecast to run 10 to 20 degrees above normal from Feb. 16–20, according to the NOAA Climate Prediction Center.
The Climate Prediction Center’s 6–10 day outlook shows a strong signal for above-normal temperatures statewide, including Hartford and New Haven. Probabilities for warmer-than-average conditions exceed 60 percent, indicating a high-confidence departure from typical winter weather.
Under normal conditions, mid-February highs across Connecticut typically range from the upper 20s to mid-30s. During this period, daytime temperatures are expected to rise into the upper 30s and 40s, with some southern and coastal locations briefly approaching the lower 50s under favorable conditions.
This warming trend is part of a broader weather pattern influencing much of the central and eastern United States. While areas farther west—including parts of the Midwest and Mississippi Valley—may experience highs in the 50s and 60s, southern New England is still expected to see a noticeable but temporary break from winter cold, often referred to as a “spring tease.”
Precipitation outlooks indicate near to slightly above-normal precipitation potential during this timeframe. Combined with rising temperatures, melting snowpack could lead to localized ponding, river rises, and minor flooding, particularly in low-lying or poor drainage areas.
Forecasters emphasize that this outlook reflects probabilistic climate guidance, not a guarantee of daily temperatures. Winter weather remains possible later in February, and residents are encouraged to monitor local forecasts as conditions evolve.
For commuters, students, and outdoor workers, the warmer stretch may provide short-term relief from winter cold, though rapidly changing conditions remain possible.
