Boston, Massachusetts – A pronounced mid-February warm-up is expected across Massachusetts, with temperatures forecast to run 10 to 20 degrees above normal from Feb. 16–20, according to the NOAA Climate Prediction Center.
The Climate Prediction Center’s 6–10 day outlook indicates a strong probability of above-normal temperatures statewide, including Boston and Worcester. Confidence levels exceed 60 percent, signaling a clear departure from typical winter conditions during this timeframe.
Normally, mid-February highs across Massachusetts average in the upper 20s to mid-30s. During the upcoming warm stretch, daytime temperatures are expected to climb into the upper 30s and 40s, with some locations—especially across eastern and southern Massachusetts—briefly reaching the lower 50s under favorable conditions.
This warm pattern is part of a broader weather setup affecting much of the central and eastern United States. States farther west, including parts of the Midwest and Mississippi Valley, may see highs soar into the 50s and 60s, while New England experiences a noticeable but temporary break from winter cold often described as a “spring tease.”
Precipitation outlooks suggest near to slightly above-normal precipitation potential during this period. Combined with warmer temperatures, melting snowpack could lead to localized ponding, river rises, and minor flooding, particularly in low-lying areas and locations with poor drainage.
Forecasters stress that this outlook reflects large-scale climate probabilities, not a day-to-day forecast. Winter weather remains possible later in February, and residents are encouraged to monitor local forecasts for updated details.
For commuters, students, and outdoor workers, the milder stretch may provide brief relief from winter cold, though rapidly changing conditions remain possible.
