Oklahoma – Dry grass rattles in the wind this morning as warm February air surges across northeastern Oklahoma. Flags snap sharply, humidity drops, and fire danger is already elevated before midday. Conditions are active now, and changes are coming fast.
The National Weather Service in Tulsa highlights an ongoing fire weather risk today across eastern Oklahoma. Temperatures rise into the mid-60s, well above normal for February. South winds increase to 15 mph, with gusts near 25 mph. Relative humidity falls into the 20 to 30 percent range, creating an environment where fires can spread quickly, especially north and west of I-44.
Outdoor burning is strongly discouraged. Any spark could grow fast under these dry, breezy conditions. Use caution with vehicles, machinery, and discarded cigarettes. Fire crews remain on alert, though spotter activation is not expected.
By Wednesday, a cooler push arrives. Winds turn northerly, temperatures ease back near 60, and fire danger drops. Sunshine dominates, offering a brief pause in hazards. Thursday brings another warm rebound, with highs climbing into the low 70s under mostly sunny skies. That warmth sets the stage for the next system.
Late Thursday night into Friday, showers and thunderstorms begin to develop. Rain chances increase through Friday and Friday night, with locally heavy rainfall possible. Roads may turn slick during the evening commute, and visibility could drop quickly in heavier rain bands.
Saturday looks wetter. Showers are likely, and thunder remains possible. While severe weather risk appears limited for now, repeated rain could impact travel and outdoor Valentine’s weekend plans. Allow extra time on highways and avoid low-water crossings if rain becomes persistent.
Looking ahead, NOAA’s 6–10 day outlook favors above-normal temperatures returning early next week. Despite winter ice holding firm across the Great Lakes, a broader warming trend supports milder air across the Plains.
Stay alert today for fire danger, prepare for wet roads later this week, and keep weather plans flexible. Seeing gusty winds or smoke where you are?
Five-Day Outlook for Tulsa, Oklahoma
- Today: Breezy, mostly cloudy, elevated fire danger, high near 65
- Wednesday: Mostly sunny, cooler, high near 60
- Thursday: Mostly sunny and warm, high near 73
- Friday: Chance of showers and storms, high near 65
- Saturday: Showers likely, breezy, high near 58


