Birmingham, Alabama – A warmer-than-normal and wetter weather pattern is expected to settle across Alabama heading into Valentine’s Day weekend, increasing the likelihood of rain, fog, and travel slowdowns from Saturday through midweek. While no widespread severe weather outbreak is currently signaled, repeated rounds of rainfall could create cumulative impacts on roads, rivers, and low-lying communities statewide.
According to the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center, Alabama is favored for above-normal precipitation and above-normal temperatures during the February 14–18 period. This pattern supports mild daytime conditions while allowing multiple rain-producing systems to track across the Deep South.
In central Alabama, including Birmingham, Hoover, and Tuscaloosa, periods of steady rain could lead to ponding on roadways and reduced visibility along I-20/59, I-65, and major surface streets. Slower travel is possible during overnight and early morning hours when rainfall overlaps with peak commute windows.
North Alabama communities such as Huntsville, Decatur, and Florence may see repeated showers capable of briefly overwhelming storm drains. While temperatures remain well above freezing, wet road conditions and fog could impact travel along I-565 and U.S. 72.
Across south Alabama, including Mobile, Daphne, and the eastern Gulf Coast, rain is expected to be the dominant precipitation type. Persistent moisture could lead to localized poor drainage flooding, particularly in urban areas and low-lying neighborhoods near the coast.
Farther east, in Montgomery, Auburn, and Troy, rainfall combined with saturated ground may increase runoff into creeks and rivers. Emergency management officials encourage residents in flood-prone areas to monitor conditions closely and avoid driving through water-covered roads.
Air travel through Birmingham-Shuttlesworth International Airport and Mobile Regional Airport may see occasional delays during periods of low clouds or heavier rain, though widespread disruptions are not expected. Utilities report no elevated concerns for ice or wind-related outages under this warmer pattern.
This warmer, wetter setup is expected to persist into midweek. Additional advisories may be issued as individual systems become clearer, and residents are urged to stay alert for updated alerts, particularly during overnight and early morning travel periods.
