Tallahassee, Florida – A warmer-than-normal and wetter pattern is expected to settle across the Florida Panhandle heading into Valentine’s Day weekend, increasing the likelihood of rain, fog, and travel slowdowns from Saturday through midweek. While no severe system is currently indicated, repeated rounds of moisture could create cumulative impacts on roads and drainage-prone areas.
According to the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center, the Florida Panhandle is favored for above-normal precipitation and above-normal temperatures during the February 14–18 period. That combination supports mild daytime conditions while allowing multiple rain-producing systems to move along the Gulf Coast.
Along the western Panhandle, including Pensacola, Milton, and Crestview, periods of steady rain could lead to ponding on roadways and reduced visibility, especially along I-10, US-98, and local surface streets during overnight and early morning hours. Fog development is also possible as warm, moist air moves in from the Gulf.
Central Panhandle communities such as Panama City, Lynn Haven, and Marianna may see repeated showers that briefly overwhelm storm drains. While rainfall rates are not expected to be extreme, the persistence of wet conditions could slow travel and increase hydroplaning risk during heavier bursts.
Farther east, Tallahassee and surrounding Leon, Gadsden, and Wakulla counties are expected to see rain as the dominant precipitation type. Low-lying and poor drainage areas could see standing water, particularly where rainfall overlaps with already saturated ground.
Beach and marine conditions are expected to remain below advisory thresholds, though periods of rain could reduce visibility for boaters. Air travel through regional airports serving Pensacola and Tallahassee may see occasional delays tied to low clouds or heavier showers, but widespread disruptions are not anticipated.
This warmer, wetter setup is expected to persist into midweek. Residents should stay alert for updated advisories, particularly during overnight travel windows, as additional alerts could be issued if rainfall becomes more persistent or locally heavier.
