Dallas, TX – A spring-like shift in the weather pattern is expected to impact Texas during the February 11–17 period, bringing above-normal temperatures with potential statewide implications.
According to the NOAA Climate Prediction Center, the 8–14 day outlook strongly favors warmer-than-normal temperatures across the southern Plains and Gulf Coast, including all of Texas. This transition follows recent winter variability and signals a temporary move toward milder mid-February conditions.
In North Texas, including Dallas–Fort Worth and communities along the I-35 corridor, average mid-February high temperatures typically range from the upper 50s to low 60s. Forecast guidance suggests daytime highs may frequently reach the 60s and low 70s during this period. Overnight lows are also expected to moderate, reducing the risk of freezing temperatures across much of the region.
Central Texas, including Austin, Waco, and Temple, is forecast to trend above normal with consistent afternoon warmth. South Texas, including San Antonio, Laredo, and the Rio Grande Valley, may experience highs in the 70s and even low 80s at times. Along the Gulf Coast, including Houston, Galveston, and Corpus Christi, temperatures are also expected to run above seasonal averages, though coastal breezes may limit extreme daytime heating.
While winter weather hazards are not anticipated, the warmer pattern may bring other impacts. The Climate Prediction Center’s precipitation outlook indicates near to above-normal precipitation potential across parts of Texas. Periods of rain could lead to localized ponding on roadways and rises on rivers and creeks.
Major transportation corridors such as I-35, I-10, I-20, I-45, and I-37 may see generally favorable travel conditions, though brief downpours could cause slowdowns. Rivers including the Trinity, Brazos, Colorado, Guadalupe, and Sabine may respond to increased runoff if rainfall materializes.
Commuters, students, and outdoor workers may notice more spring-like afternoons statewide, but officials caution that late-winter cold fronts can still bring abrupt changes.
Residents across Texas are encouraged to monitor updated forecasts and river statements from the National Weather Service as confidence increases closer to the February 11–17 timeframe.
