Columbus, OH – A spring-like shift in the weather pattern is expected to impact Ohio during the February 11–17 period, bringing above-normal temperatures with potential statewide implications.
According to the NOAA Climate Prediction Center, the 8–14 day outlook strongly favors warmer-than-normal temperatures across the Ohio Valley, including all of Ohio. This transition follows recent bouts of winter cold and signals a temporary break from mid-winter conditions.
In central Ohio, including Columbus, average mid-February high temperatures typically range from the upper 30s to low 40s. Forecast guidance suggests daytime highs may frequently reach the mid to upper 40s, with some locations potentially seeing low 50s. Northern Ohio, including Cleveland, Toledo, and Sandusky, is also expected to trend milder, though overnight lows may still dip near freezing.
Across southern Ohio, including Cincinnati, Dayton, and Portsmouth, temperatures are forecast to run several degrees above normal, leading to more consistent afternoon warming. While this may improve travel conditions, it also raises concerns tied to snowmelt and hydrology.
Existing snowpack across northern and eastern Ohio could begin to thaw, increasing runoff into rivers, streams, and storm drainage systems. Transportation corridors such as I-70, I-71, I-75, I-77, and I-90 are particularly sensitive to ponding and localized flooding during rapid warmups.
The Climate Prediction Center’s precipitation outlook indicates near to above-normal precipitation potential during this period. While no specific storm systems are identified, rainfall combined with snowmelt could elevate the risk of river rises on waterways including the Scioto, Muskingum, Maumee, Cuyahoga, and Ohio rivers.
Warming temperatures may also weaken ice on ponds, lakes, and rivers, creating hazardous conditions. The National Weather Service advises residents to avoid frozen waterways as ice conditions deteriorate.
Commuters, students, and outdoor workers may experience more spring-like afternoons, but officials caution that winter hazards can persist overnight and in shaded areas.
Residents across Ohio are encouraged to monitor updated forecasts, river statements, and local advisories as confidence increases closer to the February 11–17 timeframe.
