Birmingham, Alabama – Winter is expected to loosen its grip gradually across Alabama, even as Groundhog Day tradition points to a slower nationwide transition toward spring. Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow Monday morning, signaling six more weeks of winter and pushing broader seasonal expectations closer to mid-March.
According to the National Weather Service, Alabama is part of a Southeast region favored for above-normal temperatures from February through April. That outlook supports more frequent mild to warm afternoons statewide, though it does not eliminate the risk of brief cold fronts. Birmingham, Huntsville, Tuscaloosa, and Montgomery may still see chilly mornings and short-lived cool downs, particularly following passing systems, but sustained winter conditions are unlikely.
Rainfall remains the more notable factor heading into early spring. According to NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, much of the Southeast, including Alabama, is expected to see near to above-normal precipitation during that time frame. That raises the potential for repeated rain events, localized flooding, and rising water levels along rivers such as the Tennessee, Tombigbee, and Alabama. Travel along I-65, I-20/59, and I-85 could be impacted during heavier rain or stronger storm systems.
While the Farmers’ Almanac notes spring officially begins Friday, March 20, and highlights a total lunar eclipse early Tuesday, March 3, seasonal transitions can still bring unsettled weather. Alabamians are encouraged to stay weather-aware, especially during periods of heavy rain or passing fronts, as conditions continue to evolve into early spring.



